|
1
|
- Current Knowledge
- &
- Future Projections
|
|
2
|
|
|
3
|
- 270 Billion tons of carbon added since 19th century
- Since 1750, greenhouse gases in atmosphere increased substantially:
- CO2 > 31%
- N20 > 151%
- CH4 > 17%
- Prior to 1750,
- CO2 levels
- at 280 ppm
- CO2 levels
- now 365 ppm;
- highest level in
- 400,000 years
|
|
4
|
|
|
5
|
|
|
6
|
|
|
7
|
|
|
8
|
|
|
9
|
|
|
10
|
|
|
11
|
|
|
12
|
|
|
13
|
|
|
14
|
|
|
15
|
|
|
16
|
- CO2 concentrations may increase to 540 ppm - 970 ppm (currently 365 ppm)
- Average global temperatures predicted to increase 2.5 - 10 °F; U.S. will
be higher
- 3-day heat waves expected to increase 5-10x
- Glacial melting will accelerate
- Substantial thawing of permafrost will cause substantial habitat and
material losses
|
|
17
|
- Sea levels could rise 8” - 24”
- Agricultural crops, natural habitats and wildlife populations will shift
significantly
- Range of disease-carrying mosquitos and other vectors will expand
- Will lose 18% of all species by 2050 if we implement aggressive control
strategies now; 35% species loss by 2050 if not.
|
|
18
|
|
|
19
|
|
|
20
|
|
|
21
|
- Energy conservation
- Efficient lighting & appliances
- Increased insulation
- Behavioral changes
- Expand Renewable Energy
- Only 8% of current power mix
- Wind, solar, biomass now cost-effective w/incentives
- Wind resources in N.Dakota could supply all U.S. electricity
- Need greater push for solar
- Geothermal largely untapped
|
|
22
|
- Increase Vehicle MPG
- Stricter CAFÉ standards
- Incentives for hybrids & other high mpg vehicles
- Disincentives for gas guzzlers
- Improve public
- transportation
- Smart Growth &
- Trip Reduction
- measures
- Increased focus
- on reducing carbon
- soot from diesel
|
|
23
|
- Introduce Hydrogen fuel cell vehicles and develop infrastructure
- Phase in new technology EVs
- Replace 20% of fossil fuel power plants with renewable
- Reconsider nuclear power
|
|
24
|
- Essential But Doubtful
- Phase-out fossil-fuel combustion
- Re-forest tropical areas
- Reduce population growth
|
|
25
|
|
|
26
|
|
|
27
|
- 1997 Kyoto Protocol - requires countries to reduce CO2 emissions 7%
below 1990 levels by 2012
- Over 130 nations have signed treaty
- U.S. has pulled out of treaty; relying on voluntary measures
- European nations have made significant reductions, but still above Kyoto
target
- U.S emissions continue to climb rapidly
|
|
28
|
|
|
29
|
|
|
30
|
|
|
31
|
|