Notes
Slide Show
Outline
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GLOBAL WARMING
  • Current Knowledge
  • &
  • Future Projections
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Greenhouse Effect
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Man’s Impact on the Atmosphere
  • 270 Billion tons of carbon added since 19th century
  • Since 1750, greenhouse gases in atmosphere increased substantially:
  • CO2 > 31%
  • N20 > 151%
  • CH4 > 17%


  • Prior to 1750,
  • CO2 levels
  • at 280 ppm


  • CO2 levels
  • now 365 ppm;
  • highest level in
  • 400,000 years
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Worldwide Emissions
5
Global Temperature Increasing
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Other Indicators of
Global Warming
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Impacts Occurring Now
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Extreme Weather Events
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Human Health Impacts
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Glaciers Are Melting
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Snowmelt Is Declining
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Rising Sea Levels Worldwide
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Changes in Nature
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Changes in Nature
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Predicted Future Impacts by 2100
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Global Impacts
  • CO2 concentrations may increase to 540 ppm - 970 ppm (currently 365 ppm)
  • Average global temperatures predicted to increase 2.5 - 10 °F; U.S. will be higher
  • 3-day heat waves expected to increase 5-10x
  • Glacial melting will accelerate
  • Substantial thawing of permafrost will cause substantial habitat and material losses





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Global Impacts
  • Sea levels could rise 8” - 24”
  • Agricultural crops, natural habitats and wildlife populations will shift significantly
  • Range of disease-carrying mosquitos and other vectors will expand
  • Will lose 18% of all species by 2050 if we implement aggressive control strategies now; 35% species loss by 2050 if not.
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Kyoto Protocol Progress
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U.S. Progress
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Action Needed Now
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Feasible Strategies Now
  • Energy conservation
    • Efficient lighting & appliances
    • Increased insulation
    • Behavioral changes
  • Expand Renewable Energy
    • Only 8% of current power mix
    • Wind, solar, biomass now cost-effective w/incentives
      • Wind resources in N.Dakota could supply all U.S. electricity
      • Need greater push for solar
      • Geothermal largely untapped
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Feasible Strategies Now
  • Increase Vehicle MPG
    • Stricter CAFÉ standards
    • Incentives for hybrids & other high mpg vehicles
    • Disincentives for gas guzzlers
  • Improve public
  • transportation
  • Smart Growth &
  • Trip Reduction
  • measures
  • Increased focus
  • on reducing carbon
  • soot from diesel


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Near-Term Strategies
  • Introduce Hydrogen fuel cell vehicles and develop infrastructure
  • Phase in new technology EVs
  • Replace 20% of fossil fuel power plants with renewable
  • Reconsider nuclear power


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Long-Term Strategies
  • Essential But Doubtful
  • Phase-out fossil-fuel combustion
  • Re-forest tropical areas
  • Reduce population growth
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Strategies to Reduce Emissions & Impacts
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Kyoto Protocol
  • 1997 Kyoto Protocol - requires countries to reduce CO2 emissions 7% below 1990 levels by 2012
    • Over 130 nations have signed treaty
    • U.S. has pulled out of treaty; relying on voluntary measures
  • European nations have made significant reductions, but still above Kyoto target
  • U.S emissions continue to climb rapidly


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U.S. Health Impacts
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U.S. Habitat Changes
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Start Now!
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Extra Slides
(not used)